Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDoes Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses 49.5%-1.9ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-2.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète14 févr. 25, 22:18 UTC22 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiRègles
This market is a combinatorial market on several outcomes related to JD Vance's potential to become president in or before 2029.
- It asks 3 questions:
- Will Vance become president during the term to which he was elected as vice president in 2024?
- Resolves according to this market.
- @/zsig/will-jd-vance-take-over-the-preside
- Will he be nominated?
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028 sera-t-il résolu ?
- JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028 doit être résolu le 22 janvier 2029.
- Comment JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market is a combinatorial market on several outcomes related to JD Vance's potential to become president in or before 2029.