Is it extremely likely Democrats will win the house in 2026 midterm elections?
39.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20261mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleYes, Democrats will win a clear majority 89%+39.0ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+39.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète3 nov. 26, 06:46 UTC31 déc. 26, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republicans lose the house in 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill GOP redistricting help Republicans win the house in 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats lose the house in the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsShould I expect Democrats to win back the house in 2026 midterm election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win a House supermajority in the Midterms?
KalshiWill the Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExRègles
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option will resolve YES or NO independently based on official certification and election returns from the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections (concluding with the seating of the 120th Congress in January 2027).
- The official seat count will be verified via the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives or major election reporting consensus (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ).
- The total voting membership of the U.S. House of Representatives is 435 seats (218 required for an outright majority).
- Options resolve as follows: