Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2024 100%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard7 déc. 24, 20:06 UTC1 janv. 31, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Insomnia Cookies have declared bankruptcy by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Crumbl Cookies survives as long as they
- Maintain storefronts branded as Crumbl Cookies or similar ("Crumble" would be acceptable, "Utah Baking Company" would not be) that sells cookies
- Have not filed for bankruptcy protection
- Have not been acquired by another company
- The market will resolve NO for a given year if any of the above criteria are not met, or if Crumbl Cookies ceases operations entirely.
- Resolves YES if they survive through the end of the year.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 69,2 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,7 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 17,8 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.1pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2024 à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Crumbl Cookies survives as long as they