In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %]
PolitiqueManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleA streamer, influencer, or other vacuous media personality 75.3%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète27 avr. 26, 00:39 UTC31 déc. 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Longer form (canonical): In 2050, which of the listed sources will believe President Trump and/or his allies staged an assassination attempt against him?
- At some point in the year 2050, I will identify a member of each listed class and ask them whether they think any assassination attempt targeting Donald Trump during his presidency was an operation planned by Trump and/or his close allies.
- I will target people who I think have a low chance of being aware of this market.
- I will try to get them to land on a percentage chance.
- I will then resolve the answers to those percentages.
- If the subject is overall noncooperative, I will likely just choose another member of the class.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] ?
- Manifold Markets cote A streamer, influencer, or other vacuous media personality à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] sera-t-il résolu ?
- In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2050.
- Comment In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Longer form (canonical): In 2050, which of the listed sources will believe President Trump and/or his allies staged an assassination attempt against him?