Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleFocusing on niche markets with less competition 67%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète19 janv. 26, 18:52 UTC31 déc. 26, 18:51 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win the NY-12 Congressional District (add answers!)
Manifold MarketsWho or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Manifold MarketsWho will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketLargest Company end of September?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
I will not bet on this market.
- Please feel free to add your own answers (if you do not want to pay to add an answer, just leave a comment and let me know what you'd like to have added and I will add it for you)
- My net worth has been sitting relatively stagnant over the course of the last year, I would like to hit a net worth of 100k mana by the end of 2026.
- To that end, this market is an attempt to define strategies that will help me achieve those goals.
- I will resolve all answers that I feel contributed to increases to my portfolio in a meaningful way to YES, all answers that did not feel like they helped me gain Mana or that lost me Mana to a NO, and N/A any answers that I am unable or unwilling to try (buy 100k Mana, hack manifold, etc.)
- I was inspired to make this market based on @MarySmith's awesome "Improve My Bread" market, as I feel Futarchy may be a valuable method to figure out how to improve my gains.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 180,1 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 60,4 k €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Improve my gains? [Add Answers] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Focusing on niche markets with less competition à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Improve my gains? [Add Answers] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Improve my gains? [Add Answers] doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Improve my gains? [Add Answers] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I will not bet on this market.