If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 71.3%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 49 minutes
En retard10 janv. 24, 19:45 UTC1 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
i.e. will Trump attempt to subvert the two-term limit? Must be a serious attempt, e.g. announcing he will run for re-election in 2028 or initiating some legal proceedings to repeal the 22nd.
- Idle wondering or trolling doesn't count.
- Resolves N/A if Trump is not elected in 2024.
- Resolves NO if Trump leaves or dies mid-way through his second term.
- Resolves NO if a time-traveller occupies the white house for two weeks in his first-term and Trump wishes to stay an extra two weeks to compensate.
