If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 2026Élection9j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 60.9%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète21 juil. 25, 11:15 UTC8 nov. 26, 12:14 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 3, 2026, the Texas Legislature enacts new congressional district maps AND gains seats in Congress.
- The market will resolve “No” if the Texas Legislature enacts new congressional maps, but loses seats or maintains the same number.
- The market will resolve to "NA" if no such redistricting occurs by that date.
- In July 2025, President Donald Trump urged Texas Republicans to redraw the state's congressional maps to create five additional GOP-favored districts, aiming to bolster the party's majority in the U.S. House ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
- Governor Greg Abbott responded by adding redistricting to a special legislative session agenda.
