If the filibuster is ended by the midterms, what will the outcome of the 2026 US House and Senate elections be?
28.7 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 2026En attente de résolution
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleD House, D Senate 70%+28.7ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+28.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
3 mai 26, 15:53 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsControl of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWill the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
KalshiHow many House and Senate seats will Dems control after the 2026 midterms?
PredictItRègles
Resolves N/A if the filibuster is not ended by the midterms.
- Otherwise, resolves at the parties that have a majority in the House and Senate, respectively.
- If the Senate is 50-50, resolves R Senate.
- If neither the Republican nor Democratic Caucuses have a majority in a chamber, resolves at the party of the majority leader in that chamber.
- Resolves "other" if these conditions are somehow impossible to apply (e.g. independent majority leader, no midterms, house or senate no longer exist, all the congresspeople are abducted by aliens).