If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionSportCriminalité et justicePolitique américaineÉchecs25j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.1%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète21 mars 26, 17:34 UTC21 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This is a conditional market and will resolve NA if Labour does not win the 2026 NZ general election.
- This market resolves YES if, following the 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November 2026, Labour forms a government and requires the support of Te Pāti Māori to command a majority in Parliament.
- This includes scenarios where Te Pāti Māori is part of a formal coalition government or provides confidence and supply support.
- The market resolves NO if Labour wins the election but can form a government without Te Pāti Māori support (e.g., with only the Greens, or with sufficient seats to govern alone or with other parties).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General regarding government formation and any published coalition agreements.
