If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

PolitiqueOne-OffEurope Élection1a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 97.8%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 14 heures

Obsolète

4 juin 24, 16:21 UTC1 janv. 28, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

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N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.

Signaler un problème de données sur ce marché

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

PolitiqueOne-OffEurope Élection1a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 97.8%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 14 heures

Obsolète

4 juin 24, 16:21 UTC1 janv. 28, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

Manifold Markets

2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?

Manifold Markets

2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?

Manifold Markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Kalshi

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Kalshi

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Polymarket

Règles

N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.

Signaler un problème de données sur ce marché

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?: If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
Comment If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

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