If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 65.7%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète24 août 25, 18:33 UTC31 août 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, conditional on Zohran Mamdani being elected New York City mayor in November 2025 and taking office on January 1, 2026, the latest publicly released poll with fieldwork ending between August 1–31, 2028 measuring “job approval” of Mayor Zohran Mamdani among NYC adults, registered voters, or likely voters shows Approve > Disapprove (net approval > 0).
- Ties (Approve = Disapprove) resolve NO.
- Favorability-only polls do not count.
- Examples of qualifying pollsters include Quinnipiac University Poll and Marist Poll; results will be verified from their official releases.
- (poll.qu.edu, maristpoll.marist.edu)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? doit être résolu le 31 août 2028.
- Comment If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria