If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionCriminalité et justice2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.6%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète27 oct. 24, 19:48 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if any political opponent of Trump is arrested on charges brought at Trump’s behest.
- This is in response to Trump’s recent statement that “there are enemies within”.
- Criminal charges against any public figure perceived by Trump or his supporters to have acted contrary to Trump qualify for this market.
- Criminal charges that result in arrest resolve YES, even if the defendant is booked and released pending trial.
- Charges that do not result in arrest (eg civil charges) do not resolve this market.
- The results of trials based on charges that predate Trump’s second term do not resolve this market.
