Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 69.2% au 1 novembre 2026.

Quand If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass? sera-t-il résolu ?

If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass? doit être résolu le 25 décembre 2026.

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 69.2%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 heures

Obsolète

1 oct. 26, 19:06 UTC25 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official results of the California General Election held on November 3, 2026, as certified by the California Secretary of State (results published at sos.ca.gov).
For the purposes of this market, a proposition is considered to have "passed" if it receives a majority of affirmative ("Yes") votes (greater than 50%), regardless of whether it is subsequently blocked, voided, or modified by a competing measure or court ruling.
Precondition: If California Proposition 40 does not receive a majority of "Yes" votes, this market will resolve as N/A. YES: If California Proposition 40 receives a majority of "Yes" votes, and at least one of California Proposition 41 or California Proposition 42 also receives a majority of "Yes" votes.
NO: If California Proposition 40 receives a majority of "Yes" votes, and neither Proposition 41 nor Proposition 42 receives a majority of "Yes" votes.