Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 53.6%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète5 oct. 25, 18:48 UTC11 janv. 70, 18:36 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end?
Manifold MarketsHow long will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage last?
Manifold MarketsWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
PolymarketTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still be in a relationship of some kind at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsPro Football: Travis Kelce 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns
PolymarketRègles
Resolves "the named outcome" if, while still married, it appears that Taylor & Travis will be immortal (e.g. life expectancy increasing at a rate of more than one year per year, sustained for an extended period of time) and they credibly commit to never breaking up (e.g. by self-modification).
- Resolves "the named outcome" if the marriage breaks up and there is any hint of acrimony.
- (I will be fairly generous in what qualifies for this, since the public view will be heavily filtered.
- If there aren't public indications that they're still friendly, it's probably gone down in flames.
- As a point of reference, the Joe Alwyn breakup would qualify as going down in flames.)
- Resolves "the named outcome" upon credible reporting that they have split before getting married (regardless of whether they later get back together).
