How many "safe" Senate seats will Republicans win in 2026? (AL AR ID KY LA MS OK SD TN WV WY)
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202630jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle11 79.7%En tête parmi 6 options
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15
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Variation 7j
-1.3 pts
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Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète18 juil. 25, 03:29 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will all 18 "safe" Senate seats be won by their incumbent parties?
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PolymarketRègles
As of question writing, these are the 11 states that are listed as "safe" or "solid" Republican seats on Wikipedia by all four ratings columns.
- How many of them will the Republicans actually win?
- Based on a consensus of credible reporting, or certified results if consensus reporting is not available prior to that.
- Counting independent senators who have announced they intend to caucus with the Republicans.
- See also: @/EvanDaniel/how-many-safe-senate-seats-will-the