Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 59.9%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète24 janv. 26, 21:10 UTC2 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Manifold MarketsHow many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves PROB to the number of House seats won by a different party than won them in 2024. >= 100 flips resolves to 100%.
- Counting independents by who they intend to caucus with.
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-will-the-democ-29Rtl8ZcQU
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-will-the-repub
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-do-the-democra
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-do-the-republi
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] doit être résolu le 2 novembre 2026.
- Comment How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves PROB to the number of House seats won by a different party than won them in 2024. >= 100 flips resolves to 100%.