How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffBusiness & CorporateTech1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle4.5 months to 8.5 months 34.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète27 avr. 26, 02:03 UTC2 janv. 28, 03:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold's post-money valuation be higher than Kalshi's at the end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
After companies IPO, they typically have lock-up periods during which employees can't sell their stock.
- These lock-up periods are typically 3 or 6 months, though longer and shorter lock-up periods aren't unheard of.
- How long will the lock-up period be for Anthropic?
- For the purposes of this question, the lock-up period will be defined as the time period starting on the day of the IPO and ending on the day when Anthropic employees can sell stock (including shares that are in DAFs) that is collectively worth 5% of Anthropic's valuation.
- If Anthropic doesn't IPO by end of 2027, this question will resolve N/A.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 4.5 months to 8.5 months à 35% au 7 septembre 2026.
- Quand How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2028.
- Comment How long will the Anthropic post-IPO lock-up period be? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : After companies IPO, they typically have lock-up periods during which employees can't sell their stock.