Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 23:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.8%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète30 juil. 25, 08:39 UTC4 juil. 76, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a film with a primary focus on the American Revolution ranks in the all-time top 10 of the domestic box office by the American Tricentennial, July 4, 2076.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if a film with a primary focus on the American Revolution ranks within the all-time top 10 of the domestic box office by July 4, 2076.
- The ranking will be determined based on cumulative box office gross as reported by a reputable source such as Box Office Mojo or The Numbers.
- The film must be released by a Hollywood studio and have its primary setting and narrative centered on the American Revolution.
- Historically, films centered on the American Revolution have struggled to achieve significant box office success.
