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Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
30 juil. 23, 09:42 UTC1 janv. 30, 12:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRoom temperature ambient pressure transmutation of lead into gold, by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Note: this market is not referring to the material known as LK-99, claimed to be a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor, discovered by a South Korean group.
- This is an entirely separate claim.
- Taj Quantum claim to have invented a room temperature, ambient pressure superconductor.
- On July 25th, 2023, they were granted a patent 17/249,094 | 545074945NP:ABOVE ROOM TEMPERATURE TYPE II SUPERCONDUCTOR
- The inventors are listed as John A. Wood, Bethlehem, PENNSYLVANIA (US) and
- Paul J. Lilly, Howey In The Hills, FLORIDA (US)
