Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 19:55 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 74.5%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète3 mai 24, 10:33 UTC5 mars 34, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2033?
Manifold MarketsFull VR Brain Computer Interface before 2032?
Manifold MarketsFull VR Brain Computer Interface before 2031?
Manifold Marketswill OpenAI announce a brain-computer interface product by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves as YES if it is possible for the median consumer to purchase a brain computer interface (BCI) that enables them to experience VR indistinguishable from the real world before January 1st 2034.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, such a device must be available for purchase (or free) for at least 90% of adult consumers in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-93569dad097d
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b
