Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète7 août 26, 04:07 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUs market crash in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The S&P 500 dropped 25.3% in one year from its peak of 1518 in August 2000 to 1134 in August 2001.
- Resolves yes if the S&P drops 25.4% or more over a period of a year or less before 2030.
- Only closing prices count.
Marchés ouverts
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 104,6 k €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 79,6 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,8 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 résultats de plus
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The S&P 500 dropped 25.3% in one year from its peak of 1518 in August 2000 to 1134 in August 2001.