Will there be a False Flag in New York after Mamdani Election
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitique2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.3%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète17 nov. 25, 03:33 UTC1 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if there is a significant false-flag event in New York City before January, 7 2027.
- For this market, a false flag means:
- The event is staged, faked, or deliberately orchestrated;
- It is publicly presented or framed as the work of a different actor;
- It is done with a clear political motive (e.g. to influence elections, public opinion, policy, repression, war, etc.).
- There must be strong evidence and a reasonable mainstream consensus (e.g. credible investigative reporting, official inquiries, court findings, widely accepted leaked documents) that the event was staged and misattributed.
