Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.5%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète5 août 26, 20:11 UTC2 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Barack Obama or Hasan Piker, who will be seen next with Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan Piker announce a run for public office?
KalshiWill Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHasan Piker a guest on Jimmy Kimmel Live! In 2026?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before the polls close in Michigan for the U.S. midterm general election (8:00 PM EST on November 3, 2026), Dr. Abdul El-Sayed or his official campaign issues an explicit public statement that condemns, disavows, or formally distances his campaign from Twitch streamer Hasan Piker.
- For a YES resolution, the statement must meet the following criteria:
- Must be before the polls close in Michigan for the U.S. midterm general election (8:00 PM EST on November 3, 2026)
- Must be published by a credible news organization, via an official campaign press release, or through El-Sayed’s official verified social media channels.
- Must feature El-Sayed (or his campaign) explicitly condemning, or disavowing Piker, or explicitly stating regret or an apology for holding joint campaign events with him.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms? doit être résolu le 2 novembre 2026.
- Comment El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria