Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète9 août 25, 11:41 UTC2 juin 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any municipality in Ontario get amalgamated before Doug Ford leaves office?
Manifold MarketsDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketWill Toronto bike lanes be removed due to Doug Ford? [v2]
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
Resolves to NO if Doug Ford does not run for Premier or is no longer part of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario.
- The next provincial election has not been called yet, so deadline will be adjusted accordingly.
- Making this question early because friends and I disagree.
- They think the electorate wants change after a a leader has had a long tenure and that Ford won mostly due to fears around Trump.
- I think Ontario genuinely likes Ford and distrusts the other parties.
- Furthermore, I think its unlikely for the other parties to find a charismatic/compelling leader.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? doit être résolu le 2 juin 2030.
- Comment Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to NO if Doug Ford does not run for Premier or is no longer part of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario.