Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030
PolitiqueOne-OffGéopolitiqueRussie / UkraineEurope3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.9%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète13 juil. 24, 21:23 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation (FSS, FSB, ФСБ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Security_Service) - Russian security agency, successor to KGB.
- Resolves YES when several reputable sources report that government or parliament of Russia(*) or US or UK or EU or UN officially recognizes division of FSB or whole FSB or whole Russia as a terrorist organization.
- The recognition could be a direct proclamation OR inclusion in the list of terrorist organization OR terrorist states.
- Proclamations from other security agencies is not enogh to trigger a YES resolution, it should be political decision by government or parliment, not by some (high ranking) officer or expert.
- Otherwise resolves to NO on January 1st 2030.
- *Russia = Russian Federation or any internationally recognized state, that is official successor to Russian Federation.
