[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Business & CorporateMacro & Economy2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle[AAA] At least 1 market resolves to YES. 100%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète16 nov. 23, 00:06 UTC18 sept. 28, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Manifold Credit Default swaps 2030
Manifold MarketsWill any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsNuclear Risk 2026: How many of the 6 linked markets resolve Yes?
Manifold MarketsWalmart Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiUS credit rating downgrade in 2026?
KalshiDrop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurRègles
A Credit Default Swap is a financial derivative that allows investors to hedge or speculate on the credit risk of a particular entity.
- Essentially, a CDS is an insurance policy against the default of a borrower.
- In the context of prediction markets like Manifold, we can draw a parallel by considering the likelihood of certain events (or 'defaults') occurring.
- In this case, this market would assess the likelihood of various other markets resolving to a 'Yes' outcome.
- This approach mirrors the CDS concept, as participants are essentially speculating on the 'default' (or outcome) of these other markets.
- Here are the ten open yes/no markets with the most traders.
Marchés ouverts
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 180,1 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 60,4 k €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES? ?
- Manifold Markets cote [AAA] At least 1 market resolves to YES. à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand [Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES? sera-t-il résolu ?
- [Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES? doit être résolu le 18 septembre 2028.
- Comment [Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : A Credit Default Swap is a financial derivative that allows investors to hedge or speculate on the credit risk of a particular entity.