Congressional Survivor: Who will be the final member in Congress?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez, AOC (D: NY-14) 38.4%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète14 mars 24, 02:00 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Which of these (relatively) young and healthy members will be in Congress last (not longest)! Once someone loses reelection, or resigns from Congress, they are officially eliminated (effective at the end of their term or resignation date).
- If someone dies, they are immediately eliminated.
- Whoever is the last one standing will be the winner.
- People can switch Congressional districts, or chambers of Congress, but they must hold roles in consecutive terms to not be eliminated.
- If someone leaves Congress and later returns, they are still eliminated.
- Market will extend as needed.
