Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.6%
Prévisionnistes
47
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète30 juin 24, 07:11 UTC31 juil. 28, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
By free and fair election I mean an election that is not much less free and fair than the election held in 2020.
- This will be resolved by a poll on Manifold after the 2028 election.
- Market NA's if Donald Trump doesn't win.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028? doit être résolu le 31 juillet 2028.
- Comment Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : By free and fair election I mean an election that is not much less free and fair than the election held in 2020.