Change in US support for same-sex marriage, 2026-2027
One-OffSociété et culturePolitique américaine6moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo change (65%) 26.8%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard8 juin 26, 11:28 UTC2 mai 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SCOTUS takes up same sex marriage case in 2025-2026 or 2026-2027 docket?
Manifold MarketsWill same-sex marriage be federally guaranteed in the US for all of now through 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any country that has once institutionalized same-sex marriage ban it again before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first Arabic country legalize same-sex marriage?
Manifold MarketsWill the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 3.6% in November 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.7% in November 2026? (inflation) (underlying inflation) (price pressures)?
ForecastExRègles
Each year, Gallup runs a survey asking Americans "Do you think marriages between same-sex couples should or should not be recognized by the law as valid, with the same rights as traditional marriages?" The most recent such poll, run in May 2026, showed support at 65%.
- How much will the results change between then and the May 2027 poll?
- Since 2016, the results have been, in chronological order: 61%, 64%, 67%, 63%, 67%, 70%, 71%, 71%, 69%, 68%, 65%.
- I will not bet on this market.
