Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 89.5%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 minutes
24 mars 23, 01:11 UTC31 déc. 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water towards the poles to reduce leap seconds?
Manifold MarketsWill a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
Manifold MarketsThe world will reach a global agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50% by 2050
Manifold MarketsWill an island nation recognized by the UN evacuate >=50% of its people due to rising sea levels before Jan 1st 2040?
Manifold MarketsBrazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026?
FutuurLake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve YES if either of the following occur: 1.
- In 2050, humans pump over 1 million acre-feet of water onto Antarctica. 2.
- By 2050, humans have pumped over 25 million acre-feet of water onto Antarctica.
- This idea has received occasional news coverage in mainstream outlets, for example:
- https://www.csmonitor.com/Science/2016/0310/Can-we-slow-sea-level-rise-by-pumping-water-onto-Antarctica
