PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 3
Résolu: 27 oct. 2026, 20:59
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 28 oct. 2026, 04:24 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
3100%
10%
20%
40%
50%
more than 50%
3Gagné
Avant la clôture: 98% ·
0Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
1Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
2Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
4Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
5Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
more than 5Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1?
PolymarketHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketWill at least 1% of all A/C units worldwide be replaced with energyless cooling alternatives by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill renewable energy sources surpass fossil fuels as the primary source of energy worldwide by the end of 2050?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
- This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
- If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.
