Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 99%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète9 déc. 25, 22:57 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Brad Lander win the New York 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNY-10 House election: Brad Lander vote percent
KalshiWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsConditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Brad Lander wins the 2026 Democratic primary for Ny10 and wins the general election in Ny10.
- [image]Dan Goldman is considered a moderate Democrat who is vulnerable to a primary challenge from his left, especially due to the fact Zohran Mamdani won his district in the mayoral primary by36% and election by 34%.