Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.8%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète7 août 25, 12:07 UTC1 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsBarack Obama or Hasan Piker, who will be seen next with Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsObama arrested before 2027?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Obama
PolymarketObama federally charged before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.
- Recent political developments have seen accusations and calls for legal action against Obama, including claims of treason and espionage.
- However, as of August 7, 2025, no formal charges or arrests have been made.
- This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reports from reputable news organizations confirm Obama's arrest by the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.