Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.1%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète20 mai 26, 21:59 UTC1 févr. 29, 22:49 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Trump's new ballroom contains numerous underground structures which could be used for shelter against some sort of assault on the white house:
- https://xcancel.com/thothratm/status/2056829453569769523#m
- This market resolves Yes if Trump or the 2028 Republican presidential nominee uses the ballroom or any underground white house structures to shelter in during some crisis, such as a contested election, mass protests outside the white house, or a non-election related emergency which requires sheltering within the ballroom or beneath the white house.
- I will not bet in this market, in order to be as neutral as possible with the resolution.
