Avengers: Doomsday V Dune: Messiah! Which one will "blink"? Both are currently dated Dec 18, 2026 - release date in USA.
Divertissement3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNeither 98.8%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète3 sept. 25, 07:29 UTC18 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
PolymarketWill "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend?
Manifold MarketsAvengers Doomsday to be delayed
Manifold Markets[Add options] What references will be made in Avengers Doomsday?
Manifold MarketsWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
PolymarketWho will die in Avengers: Doomsday?
FutuurRègles
Which movie will change its USA release date from December 18, 2026?
- the named outcome (Marvel Studios, directed by the Russo Brothers, starring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom) and the named outcome (Warner Bros., directed by Denis Villeneuve, starring Timothée Chalamet) are both set to release on December 18, 2026, creating a potential “Dunesday” clash.
- Which studio will “blink” and move their release date to avoid competition? Historically, studios avoid such clashes to maximize box office potential, but the “Barbenheimer” phenomenon showed that two blockbusters can coexist.
- Factors like Villeneuve’s commitment to a James Bond film or Disney’s dominance with Marvel may influence the outcome.
- Resolution criteria
- This resolves to the single option that correctly describes what happens to the U.S. wide theatrical release dates relative to Friday, December 18, 2026:
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Avengers: Doomsday V Dune: Messiah! Which one will "blink"? Both are currently dated Dec 18, 2026 - release date in USA. ?
- Manifold Markets cote Neither à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Avengers: Doomsday V Dune: Messiah! Which one will "blink"? Both are currently dated Dec 18, 2026 - release date in USA. sera-t-il résolu ?
- Avengers: Doomsday V Dune: Messiah! Which one will "blink"? Both are currently dated Dec 18, 2026 - release date in USA. doit être résolu le 18 décembre 2026.
- Comment Avengers: Doomsday V Dune: Messiah! Which one will "blink"? Both are currently dated Dec 18, 2026 - release date in USA. est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Which movie will change its USA release date from December 18, 2026?