At what temperature anomaly will global warming peak before the Earth starts cooling again?
Météo
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2.2 degrees Celsius 8.3%En tête parmi 27 options
2.2 degrees Celsius 8.3%Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 oct. 24, 07:38 UTC22 oct. 24, 21:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
This market will close when climate science comes to the conclusion that global warming has ended and the Earth has started cooling.
- It will resolve to the highest global surface temperature anomaly the Earth has experienced relative to 1850-1900 (in degrees Celsius, rounded to one decimal place).
- Resolution will likely occur far in the future and will be based on the most relevant scientific publications at that time.