Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.5%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète23 août 23, 04:44 UTC31 déc. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will at least 3 American cities reach a population of 1 million for the first time before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a US city ban meat sales before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a European country ban selling meat by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiIndiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets.
- If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.