Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.8%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 août 25, 23:20 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By EOY 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full movie based on the user's algorithmically observed preferences?
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, on or before December 31, 2026, a publicly documented demonstration confirms that an AI system is capable of generating a 90-minute high-quality movie from a single natural language prompt.
- ✅ To qualify as “Yes”:
- The AI must generate a coherent and watchable 90-minute film in response to a simple prompt such as:
- “Create a 90-minute Star Trek and Star Wars crossover where Captain Kirk and Han Solo join forces to stop a galactic threat.
- Include space battles, humor, and advanced technology from both universes.”
- The film must be comparable to a big-budget studio production in:
