Adam Hamiltons winning margin in Johnson County in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202611j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleHamilton wins the county by 15 to 19.99% 26.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+6.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète21 oct. 26, 22:52 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Kansas Senate Election Winner
PolymarketKansas Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketKansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketKansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Kansas Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWill Roger Marshall win the Kansas senate election by 11% or more?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Kansas, is running against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
- This market resolves based on Hamilton's margin of victory in Johnson County in the November 3, 2026 election.
- The margin is calculated as Adam Hamiltons vote percent in Johnson County, minus the second place candidates (likely Roger Marshall) vote share.
- If the named outcome, resolves Hamilton loses the county.
- For his margin, Associated Press results for Johnson county will be used, however if the AP result is very close to 2 buckets, resolution can wait for certified final results.
- Any results will be rounded to 2 decimal places to resolve this market.
