Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20269j
LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Republican 15-20% 50%En tête parmi 11 options
Republican 15-20% 50%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
21 août 26, 11:07 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Republican 40-45% · Republican 35-40% · Republican 45-50% · Republican 30-35% · Republican 25-30% · Republican 50%+ · Republican 20-25% · Republican 15-20% · Republican 10-15% · Republican 0-10% · the named outcome.
The 2026 Wyoming Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
- The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
- If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory · Republican 35-40% 19%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Wyoming Senate margin of victory · Hageman, 26+ pts 91%