KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Trump (5+ times) (99%)
Résolu: 15 sept. 2026, 23:57
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Trump (5+ times) 99%En tête parmi 17 options
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
115 k €
Liquidité
80,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 jours
Obsolète15 sept. 26, 17:30 UTC16 sept. 26, 15:22 UTC
Chronologie des Probabilités
Emmy / Emmys9%
Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate60%
Diesel58%
Inflation88%
Saudi66%
Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi95%
Trump (5+ times)88%
OpenAI91%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline72%
Supreme Court88%
Hoax61%
AI / Artificial Intelligence79%
Kash / Patel88%
Kennedy79%
Anthropic / Claude60%
Iran (3+ times)61%
Space0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
9%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Major news story in Sep 2026?
KalshiWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
KalshiWill I be published in a major news outlet by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
Manifold MarketsWill the Kennedy Center reopen officially before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsHarry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
KalshiRègles
If any host or reporter says Trump (5+ times) as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
