KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 76%
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
327,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
22.0% / 29.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
2 sept. 26, 23:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:United States Postal ServiceThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that A) explicitly states a qualifying state submission was completed, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
- State means one of the 50 states.
- A qualifying submission requires a state or its authorized designee to complete the transfer of federal ballot-mail data through the Federal Ballot Mail Portal.
- Account creation, portal familiarization, design communication, optional notice, intent, planning, and a failed or incomplete upload do NOT qualify.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 76% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.