KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Apr 6, 2028 46.4%En tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
518,8 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
20 août 26, 18:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) become law by December 31 2026?
ForecastExWill Manifold be deplatformed by any of their payment processors or webhosting services over a refusal to moderate content?
Manifold MarketsWill Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:HM Treasury
- A market resolves to Yes on a UK government announcement that abolishes the digital services tax, reduces its rate, raises either of its revenue thresholds, suspends it, or exempts companies from its scope.
- There is no minimum size and the measure need not be legislated or in force before the strike date.
- A rate increase, or a change that only broadens the tax, does not resolve any market.
- An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal commitment by the head of government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 105,1 k €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Apr 6, 2028 à 46% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.