KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
John Healey 20%En tête parmi 23 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
John Healey 20%Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
21,2 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
19 août 26, 17:42 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If John Healey is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A change of portfolio or position within the Cabinet alone does not count. If two or more members leave on the same calendar date and the Source Agencies do not establish a clear chronological order, the tied member markets settle according to the Contract's split-settlement provisions. If no eligible member leaves during the specified period, all member markets resolve to No. A temporary absence or leave where the member is expected to resume their Cabinet position does not count. Speculative or unconfirmed reports of a departure do not count. If the Prime Minister leaves office or the Cabinet is otherwise dissolved or wholly reconstituted before an individual member satisfies the Payout Criterion, all listed individual-member markets resolve to No.
Règles de chaque résultat
- John Healey
- If John Healey is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Miatta Fahnbulleh
- If Miatta Fahnbulleh is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Indeterminate
- If Indeterminate is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lucy Powell
- If Lucy Powell is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Heidi Alexander
- If Heidi Alexander is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lisa Nandy
- If Lisa Nandy is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jonathan Reynolds
- If Jonathan Reynolds is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Chris Bryant
- If Chris Bryant is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bridget Phillipson
- If Bridget Phillipson is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ed Miliband
- If Ed Miliband is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Angela Eagle
- If Angela Eagle is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Louise Haigh
- If Louise Haigh is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wes Streeting
- If Wes Streeting is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yvette Cooper
- If Yvette Cooper is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alex Norris
- If Alex Norris is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pat McFadden
- If Pat McFadden is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Angela Rayner
- If Angela Rayner is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Douglas Alexander
- If Douglas Alexander is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stephen Kinnock
- If Stephen Kinnock is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Anneliese Midgley
- If Anneliese Midgley is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Angela Smith
- If Angela Smith is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alan Campbell
- If Alan Campbell is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shabana Mahmood
- If Shabana Mahmood is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.