KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
38.7% 56.6%En tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
38.7% 56.6%Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
92,2 k €
Liquidité
50,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
26 sept. 26, 14:01 UTC27 sept. 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 30?
PredictItWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.