KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Below 38.5% (97%)
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 16:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
38.5%2%
Below 38.5%97%
38.7%17%
38.8%5%
38.9%3%
Above 39.1%3%
38.6%1%
39.1%3%
39.0%2%
Below 38.5%Gagné
38.5%Perdu
38.7%Perdu
38.8%Perdu
38.9%Perdu
Above 39.1%Perdu
38.6%Perdu
39.1%Perdu
39.0%Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 27, 2026?
KalshiWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Oct. 28?
PredictItWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRègles
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Below 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.7%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.8%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.9%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 39.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is above 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.0%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.