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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. Top AI model this month
Top AI model this month

Top AI model this month

2.0% (24h)IA
KalshiKalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Ce marché s'est résolu: claude-opus-4-6-thinking (99%)

Résolu: 31 mai 2026, 23:39

Résultat Gagnant

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

À 7 jours

—

À 24 heures

96%

Consensus
Probabilité implicite actuelle
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 99%+2.0%
En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche

48 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

87,5 €

Liquidité

4,9 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

- / 100.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 12 jours

Obsolète
30 avr. 26, 17:0031 mai 26, 14:00

Chronologie des Probabilités

claude-opus-4-6-thinking97%
claude-opus-4-61%
0%25%50%75%100%29 mai30 mai31 mai
Résultat24hProbabilité
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
+2.0%
99%
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6
-1.0%
1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
1%
gpt-5.5-high
gpt-5.5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-7
claude-opus-4-7
1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
1%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

Top AI model this week

Top AI model this week

13,5 €
gemini-3.1-pro-preview: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Top AI model this month

Top AI model this month

0 €
claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 0%KalshiKALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

173,7 k €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

56,4 k €
<30%: 0.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

51 k €
December: 48%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

47,3 k €
Oui: 97.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$64,067.77+0.36%EthereumETH$1,676.67+0.50%SolanaSOL$68.21+1.40%DogecoinDOGE$0.0878-0.08%BNBBNB$608.09+0.23%XRPXRP$1.15+1.21%

Actualités Associées

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Règles

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.