Probabilité implicite actuelle
Magnus Carlsen 10%En tête parmi 49 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,6 €
Liquidité
23,5 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
6.0% / 11.0%
Spread
83.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
30 juin 26, 22:3021 juil. 26, 21:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Magnus Carlsen10%
Marchés Associés
Titled Tuesday Top 3: Jul 7
2,8 €Hikaru Nakamura: 20%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess?
2,2 k €GPT-5: 0%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
2 k €Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 77%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
1,7 k €PSD: 47%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?
877,1 €Oui: 3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Kenya get a chess international master within 1year?
752,5 €Oui: 13.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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If Arjun Erigaisi finishes in the top 10 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the Titled Tuesday chess competition originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT.
- The format of the event is blitz, and is a Swiss tournament consisting of 11 rounds.
- If Sina Movahed finishes in the top 10 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Dmitry Andreikin finishes in the top 10 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hikaru Nakamura finishes in the top 10 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.