KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 93%
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.2% / 7.2%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
29 janv. 25, 15:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
KalshiWill Trump impose capital controls?
KalshiWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
PolymarketWill Nebraska vote to extend legislative term limits to 12 years?
KalshiWill SCOTUS judges have term limits by 2028-03-23?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
If a constitutional amendment is added to the U.S. Constitution has been ratified before Jan 20, 2029 that requires term limits for at least some members of Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump impose term limits on Congress? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump impose term limits on Congress? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump impose term limits on Congress? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump impose term limits on Congress? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a constitutional amendment is added to the U.S. Constitution has been ratified before Jan 20, 2029 that requires term limits for at least some members of Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.