KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleGemini 2%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
12,9 k €
Liquidité
13,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
13 juil. 26, 16:0020 juil. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Gemini2%
Tendance du volume
$14.7k13 juil.2j de données14 juil.
Marchés Associés
Which company has best AI model end of July?
200,2 k €Anthropic: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
41,2 k €Anthropic: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
40,2 k €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
33,5 k €Claude: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
29,3 k €Jacob Tsimerman: 24.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBest AI in Jul 2026?
20,8 k €ChatGPT: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
Anthropic restores AI models Fable, Mythos after the U.S. lifts export controlsCoindesk
Anthropic to bring back Fable 5 as US lifts export controlsCointelegraphRègles
If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ChatGPT is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Grok is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.